5 Year Refusal Rate Statistics – See Where Your Country Ranks
Posted on November 18, 2024
Below are the visa refusal statistics for the 2019-2023 period. These are the statistics for B Visitor Visas, not for other categories.
While some country’s visa refusal statistics have remained relatively steady, some have trended positively and others are headed in the wrong direction. For example, the refusal rate for Indians has dropped substantially since 2019 – from nearly 28% in 2019 to about 11% in 2023. However, for those who see the glass as “half empty,” they would point to the large increase from 2022 to 2023: from 6.54% to 10.99%.
Besides India, the overall trend has been positive for Nigeria (from a refusal rate in the 60s to around 30%), Brazil, and Colombia. Mexico has also had some refusal rate “schizophrenia:” overall dropping from nearly 27% in 2019 all the way down to 6% in 2022, but then nearly doubling in 2023 to almost 11%. Numerous factors go into the refusal rates: new consular management; validation study results showing how many visitors from the country violated the terms of their visa or stayed in the US; and the economic and political situation in the country, as well as in the United States. In 2021, there was also the unprecedented situation with the pandemic. So for example in China, because of the limited number of visa applicants, the refusal rate skewed abnormally high.
|
Country |
% of B Visa Applicants Refused in FY-2019 |
% of B Visa Applicants Refused in FY-2020 |
% of B Visa Applicants Refused in FY-2021 |
% of B Visa Applicants Refused in FY-2022 |
% of B Visa Applicants Refused in FY-2023 |
|
Brazil |
18.48% |
23.16% |
14.25% |
14.48% |
11.94% |
|
China |
18.22% |
22.12% |
79.09% |
30.39% |
26.63% |
|
Colombia |
41.93% |
46.82% |
27.75% |
32.86% |
20.59% |
|
India |
27.75% |
27.26% |
12.25% |
6.54% |
10.99% |
|
Indonesia |
12.46% |
12.19% |
5.83% |
12.23% |
10.95% |
|
Malaysia |
4.91% |
6.97% |
7.21% |
9.41% |
4.43% |
|
Mexico |
26.66% |
23.16% |
4.23% |
5.91% |
10.57% |
|
Nigeria |
67.20% |
64.83% |
43.78% |
25.80% |
29.23% |
|
Pakistan |
48.26% |
45.62% |
32.53% |
31.43% |
40.82% |
|
Philippines |
24.40% |
32.49% |
10.20% |
11.59% |
23.93% |
|
Russia |
15.19% |
17.79% |
29.42% |
26.18% |
39.49% |
|
Turkey |
19.19% |
17.46% |
13.70% |
19.96% |
20.59% |
|
Ukraine |
45.06% |
43.14% |
15.15% |
41.27% |
34.29% |
|
Vietnam |
23.70% |
18.78% |
11.32% |
14.98% |
25.78% |
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